Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:55:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64c7…985f
crypto · 1592 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$101 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$101 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses828 / 895
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1723 / 1592
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day410.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1723 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$489
7 days−$101
14 days−$101
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 59¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 11¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+809%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +809%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 6PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$518
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1723 -3.5% -12.7% 48% 41% -11.3%
≤30d 1723 -3.5% -12.7% 48% 41% -11.3%
≤90d 1723 -3.5% -12.7% 48% 41% -11.3%
all 1723 -3.5% -12.7% 48% 41% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover410.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 41% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 36% -19.8%
15% -28.7% 30% -27.5%
20% -35.6% 22% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.49 · official $25.30 · 3500 history records