Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64b3…6468
crypto · 60 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses25 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day129.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 28% -24.3%
≤30d 60 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 28% -24.3%
≤90d 60 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 28% -24.3%
all 60 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 28% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.7% 28% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 15% -31.5%
15% -40.1% 12% -38.1%
20% -46.0% 8% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 129 history records