Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:18:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x64a3…40ea crypto 1391 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1817 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$688 (-8%) realized −$688 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate45%815W / 989L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day1817.1pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$208
other 14% −$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1817 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-30.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1804 -22.9% -30.2% 45% 36% -31.5%
≤30d 1804 -22.9% -30.2% 45% 36% -31.5%
≤90d 1804 -22.9% -30.2% 45% 36% -31.5%
all 1804 -22.9% -30.2% 45% 36% -31.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1817.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.2% 36% -31.5%
10% ← realistic here -36.9% 27% -38.1%
15% -43.0% 16% -44.0%
20% -48.6% 7% -49.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -23% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -48% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.34 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$688
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses815 / 989
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1804 / 1391
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1817.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1804 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$8 -154%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$4 -128%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$8 -173%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$4 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$8 -257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$7 -139%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.41 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records