Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:10:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x6485…a265
sports · 175 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$16,668 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,667 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62
Realized+$16,667
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses128 / 67
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$4,169
Open positions3
Markets (closed)195 / 175
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1,239
Trades / day983.7
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,378
7 days+$16,667
14 days+$16,667
30 days+$16,667
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Guido Justo 85¢ 87¢ $52 $54 +$1 (+2%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Zeynep Sonmez 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Henrique Rocha 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau Tristan Boyer 74¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Felix Auger-Aliassime 75¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jiri Lehecka 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Federica Urgesi Tamara Zidansek 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Tucuman: Samuel Heredia vs Hernan Casanova Hernan Casanova 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Lyon: Max Alcala Gurri vs Dali Blanch Dali Blanch 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Dali Blanch 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+44%)
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Vitaliy Sachko 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+52%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+156%)
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+122%)
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Nicolas Kicker 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Greet Minnen 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Ilkley: Alina Korneeva vs Celine Naef Celine Naef 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Thiago Cigarran 17¢ 13¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-22%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 29¢ 30¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Federico Coria 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Hanne Vandewinkel 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Kayla Day 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Jun 12 $1 +$2 +412%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilagan Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1200%
Foggia: Tatiana Pieri vs Sofia Costoulas Jun 12 $1 +$7 +1208%
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado Jun 12 $2 −$2 -80%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Erika Andreeva Jun 12 $3 +$7 +275%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $9 −$76 -802%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $1 +$4 +327%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Mayar Sherif Jun 12 $0 $0 +602%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $15 −$42 -284%
Bratislava: Norbert Gombos vs Jan Choinski Jun 12 $0 +$14 +3224%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu Jun 12 $6 +$39 +651%
Roland Garros WTA: Claire Liu vs Moyuka Uchijima Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 12 $0 −$1 -584%
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osorio Jun 12 $5 −$6 -116%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo Jun 12 $0 $0 -932%
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 12 $119 −$120 -101%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 12 $1 −$20 -1802%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 12 $4 −$245 -6201%
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Alice Tubello Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Modena: Martina Trevisan vs Jennifer Ruggeri Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1673%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Daniella Britton Jun 12 $0 $0 +24%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Marko Topo Jun 12 $0 $0 +60%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $368 +$238 +65%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $1,559 +$364 +23%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $206 −$2 -1%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $5,968 −$2,035 -34%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $420 +$160 +38%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $648 +$73 +11%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $598 −$21 -4%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $659 +$167 +25%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $189 +$20 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $3,236 +$605 +19%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $21 +$10 +48%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $189 +$5 +2%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $3,781 +$277 +7%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $77 −$3 -3%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $5,210 +$108 +2%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $3,750 −$214 -6%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1,560 +$108 +7%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $810 +$49 +6%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $236 +$20 +8%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $57 +$2 +4%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $1,425 −$57 -4%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $0 +$1 +158%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $706 +$82 +12%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $412 −$99 -24%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $1,750 +$194 +11%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$17,117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson SELL Kaitlin Quevedo 25¢ $1 12m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 29¢ $2 15m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria SELL Federico Coria 19¢ $1 47m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 25¢ $1 50m
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria SELL Federico Coria 58¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria SELL Federico Coria 58¢ $1 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria SELL Federico Coria 58¢ $52 1h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 55¢ $56 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran SELL Guido Justo 93¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 16¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 15¢ $8 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 16¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 12¢ $16 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $64 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $4 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 71¢ $98 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran SELL Guido Justo 89¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $139 1h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet SELL Oliver Tarvet 93¢ $17 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 85¢ $58 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 71¢ $7 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 71¢ $10 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran SELL Thiago Cigarran 14¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 71¢ $4 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 71¢ $4 1h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 73¢ $5 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 17¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 34¢ $147 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+62.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 +79.4% +62.4% 66% 41% -2.0%
≤30d 195 +79.4% +62.4% 66% 41% -2.0%
≤90d 195 +79.4% +62.4% 66% 41% -2.0%
all 195 +79.4% +62.4% 66% 41% -2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover983.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +62.4% 41% -2.0%
10% +46.8% 27% -11.3%
15% ← realistic here +32.6% 21% -19.9%
20% +19.6% 18% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.52 · official $53.70 · 3500 history records