Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:15:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x6480…8dc5
other · 8 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$100,714 +10442%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$1,263
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,677
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$1,263
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1 / 8
History coverage3d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day1166.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit42%
Chart Positions 15 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,857 $2,940 +$1,083 (+58%)
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2,398 $2,798 +$400 (+17%)
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,439 $1,798 +$360 (+25%)
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,527 $1,782 +$255 (+17%)
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2,014 $1,735 −$279 (-14%)
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,316 $1,645 +$329 (+25%)
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $444 $413 −$32 (-7%)
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $273 $204 −$68 (-25%)
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $151 $113 −$38 (-25%)
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $273 $68 −$205 (-75%)
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $263 $66 −$197 (-75%)
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $248 $62 −$186 (-75%)
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $211 $53 −$158 (-75%)
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-7%)
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 13 $200 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% +$1,263
economics 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 10m
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12m
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL Yes 1¢ $9 12m
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 14m
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 15m
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 19m
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 20m
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 20m
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 20m
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 20m
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 23m
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 25m
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 25m
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 26m
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 27m
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 27m
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 28m
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 29m
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
all 1 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1166.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,677.29 · official $13,677.29 (match) · 3500 history records