trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -24.8% | -32.0% | 0% | 0% | -32.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -24.8% | -32.0% | 0% | 0% | -32.0% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -33.9% | -40.2% | 41% | 0% | -19.9% |
| all | 24 | -29.3% | -36.0% | 42% | 4% | -13.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.0% | 4% | -13.8% |
| 10% | -42.2% | 4% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -47.7% | 4% | -29.6% |
| 20% | -52.9% | 4% | -36.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 17 | $1,040 | −$258 | -25% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 16 | $500 | −$34 | -7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 12 | $10 | −$2 | -16% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 11 | $600 | +$42 | +7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 06 | $200 | −$85 | -43% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 06 | $200 | −$17 | -8% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 06 | $200 | −$99 | -49% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 05 | $28 | −$10 | -35% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 04 | $400 | +$12 | +3% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Apr 30 | $500 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 30 | $400 | +$31 | +8% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Apr 20 | $600 | +$34 | +6% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 14 | $600 | +$26 | +4% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Apr 12 | $204 | +$16 | +8% |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Apr 12 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Apr 12 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | Apr 12 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Apr 12 | $146 | −$146 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Apr 12 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Apr 12 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 06 | $200 | −$65 | -33% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $576 | +$431 | +75% |