trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 | Over | 64¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Spurs | 55¢ | 55¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 | Over | 49¢ | 30¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-40%) |
| Colorado Rockies winning after 5 innings? | Yes | 97¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Under | 62¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Over | 60¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Michael Lorenzen: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | Under | 55¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 52¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 54¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Switzerland leading at halftime? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $6 | +$7 | +109% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Baltimore Orioles winning after 5 innings? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Texas Rangers winning after 5 innings? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Colorado Rockies winning after 5 innings? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| George Kirby: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Framber Valdez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Chris Sale: Strikeouts O/U 7.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| Michael Lorenzen: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | Jun 10 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -13.0% | -21.2% | 55% | 35% | -19.2% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -13.0% | -21.2% | 55% | 35% | -19.2% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -13.0% | -21.2% | 55% | 35% | -19.2% |
| all | 20 | -13.0% | -21.2% | 55% | 35% | -19.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.2% | 35% | -19.2% |
| 10% | -28.8% | 35% | -26.9% |
| 15% | -35.7% | 35% | -34.0% |
| 20% | -42.0% | 35% | -40.4% |