Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:20:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x6460…13ce crypto 553 markets active 1h ago coverage 43d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$350 (+2%) realized +$350 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate83%459W / 94L
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day65.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$140
7 days+$62
14 days+$190
30 days+$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 +0.2% -9.4% 82% 20% -9.0%
≤30d 539 +0.6% -9.0% 83% 19% -8.3%
≤90d 553 +3.6% -6.3% 83% 20% -8.2%
all 553 +3.6% -6.3% 83% 20% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.3% 20% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 8% -17.0%
15% -23.5% 5% -25.0%
20% -31.0% 3% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.26 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$350
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses459 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)553 / 553
History coverage43d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day65.3
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 553 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$10 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $36 −$8 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$1 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$16 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $55 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $5 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3273 history records