Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:06:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x6446…0a52 crypto 273 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (274 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate93%253W / 20L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day274.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (274 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 273 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 18% -9.0%
≤30d 273 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 18% -9.0%
≤90d 273 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 18% -9.0%
all 273 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 18% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover274.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 18% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 4% -17.7%
15% -26.6% 0% -25.6%
20% -33.8% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses253 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)273 / 273
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day274.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 273 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 527 history records