trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -37.2% | -43.2% | 45% | 45% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -45.2% | -50.4% | 35% | 35% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -45.2% | -50.4% | 35% | 35% | -6.9% |
| all | 20 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 35% | 35% | +92.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.1% | 35% | +92.0% |
| 10% | -46.7% | 35% | +73.6% |
| 15% | -51.9% | 25% | +56.8% |
| 20% | -56.6% | 10% | +41.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $71 | +$33 | +46% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $152 | +$45 | +30% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $133 | +$52 | +39% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $141 | +$39 | +28% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $129 | −$113 | -88% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $95 | +$34 | +36% |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $3 | +$5 | +133% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5 | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $4 | −$3 | -92% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal? | Mar 06 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 11 | $2,433 | +$4,217 | +173% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 19 | $528 | −$12 | -2% |