Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:15:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x643b…0361
crypto · 721 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,420 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$380 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$380
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses173 / 550
Open positions0
Markets (closed)723 / 721
History coverage3d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day749.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 723 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$313
7 days−$380
14 days−$380
30 days−$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+65%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -287%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$18 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$15 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$15 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $38 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$4 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$4 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$3 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$376
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $6 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $8 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 723 -2.5% -11.8% 24% 13% -11.5%
≤30d 723 -2.5% -11.8% 24% 13% -11.5%
≤90d 723 -2.5% -11.8% 24% 13% -11.5%
all 723 -2.5% -11.8% 24% 13% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover749.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 13% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 9% -19.9%
15% -27.9% 8% -27.7%
20% -35.0% 7% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.35 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records