trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 14 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 43% | 43% | -47.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.4% | 43% | -47.9% |
| 10% | +17.0% | 36% | -52.9% |
| 15% | +5.7% | 21% | -57.4% |
| 20% | -4.7% | 21% | -61.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | No | 29¢ | 28¢ | $200 | $196 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $120 | $119 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | No | 38¢ | 38¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | No | 27¢ | 26¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-2%) |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance | South Africa | 29¢ | 36¢ | $50 | $63 | +$13 (+26%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | No | 47¢ | 57¢ | $50 | $61 | +$11 (+22%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | No | 43¢ | 42¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 28 | $205 | −$200 | -97% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | Mar 01 | $20 | −$6 | -31% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Feb 28 | $150 | +$235 | +157% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | Feb 27 | $450 | −$450 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25? | Feb 25 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24? | Feb 24 | $50 | +$15 | +30% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22? | Feb 22 | $110 | −$47 | -43% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? | Feb 22 | $50 | +$15 | +30% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-21? | Feb 22 | $50 | +$8 | +16% |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21? | Feb 22 | $50 | +$44 | +89% |
| Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Feb 22 | $10 | +$101 | +1011% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23? | Feb 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? | Feb 21 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |