Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x6413…8200
sports · 538 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$111
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses259 / 252
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions27
Markets (closed)511 / 538
History coverage5d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day181.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 27 History 511 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 83¢ 81¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 59¢ 60¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 44¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 48¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Felix Balshaw 57¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 14¢ 78¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+457%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 40¢ 36¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Celine Naef 22¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+354%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 37¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 39¢ 40¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 74¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+35%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 40¢ 40¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
IR Iran leading at halftime? No 64¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? No 42¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 48¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 53¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 75¢ 81¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 76¢ 73¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 67¢ 89¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 20¢ 27¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Rinky Hijikata 52¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 43¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $5 −$2 -41%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $4 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $2 −$1 -35%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $2 −$1 -34%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $4 −$2 -55%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $3 $0 -18%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 $0 -25%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 +$3 +55%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 −$2 -50%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $5 −$1 -16%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $6 −$2 -28%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$2
other 8% +$5
world 0% $0
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 57¢ $5 17m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 47¢ $1 38m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 75¢ $1 46m
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 1h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 50¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 66¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 39¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 65¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 74¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 22¢ $1 1h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 75¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 30¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 52¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Panna Udvardy 26¢ $1 2h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 54¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 39¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 82¢ $2 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Aoi Ito 20¢ $1 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 14¢ $1 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 14¢ $0 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 38¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 44¢ $1 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 76¢ $1 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 67¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic BUY James Duckworth 32¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic BUY Aleksandar Vukic 70¢ $2 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 99¢ $1 3h
IR Iran leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $3 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 98¢ $10 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 89¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 511 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 40% -9.2%
≤30d 511 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 40% -9.2%
≤90d 511 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 40% -9.2%
all 511 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 40% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover181.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 40% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 30% -17.9%
15% -24.0% 23% -25.8%
20% -31.4% 17% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $110.93 · official $110.94 (match) · 1276 history records