Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:58:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63fd…0aa1
crypto · 671 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$112 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$149
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses532 / 137
Open positions2
Markets (closed)669 / 671
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day245.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 669 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days−$89
14 days−$149
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 75¢ 88¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$152
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 525 -1.1% -10.5% 77% 42% -11.0%
≤30d 669 -2.2% -11.5% 80% 33% -11.0%
≤90d 669 -2.2% -11.5% 80% 33% -11.0%
all 669 -2.2% -11.5% 80% 33% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover245.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 33% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 28% -19.5%
15% -27.7% 22% -27.3%
20% -34.8% 12% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.31 · official $4.11 · 2527 history records