Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63fc…32a2
crypto · 585 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$213 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$211 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$211
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses292 / 292
Open positions1
Markets (closed)584 / 585
History coverage2d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day1423.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 584 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$141
7 days+$211
14 days+$211
30 days+$211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 57¢ 64¢ $16 $18 +$2 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $163 −$15 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$14 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$20 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$20 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$19 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$16 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$15 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$23 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$14 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $19 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $15 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $19 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $23 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 584 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 40% -8.7%
≤30d 584 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 40% -8.7%
≤90d 584 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 40% -8.7%
all 584 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 40% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1423.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 40% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 31% -17.4%
15% -27.1% 23% -25.4%
20% -34.2% 17% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.08 · official $14.38 · 3500 history records