Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:22:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x63eb…ee90 crypto 503 markets active 4d ago coverage 39d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$199 (+1%) realized +$199 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate84%422W / 81L
Drawdown81%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day20.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$41
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$92
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -3.2% -12.4% 91% 3% -11.5%
≤30d 100 -3.2% -12.4% 91% 3% -11.5%
≤90d 503 +1.0% -8.6% 84% 15% -9.2%
all 503 +1.0% -8.6% 84% 15% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 15% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 7% -17.9%
15% -25.4% 5% -25.8%
20% -32.7% 3% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$9 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses422 / 81
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)503 / 503
History coverage39d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day20.5
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 503 Trades
no open positions (30 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1485 history records