Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63ea…63d3
crypto · 2061 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$896 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$896 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$896
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1164 / 740
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1904 / 2061
History coverage46d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day52.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1904 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$327
14 days+$829
30 days+$311
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$19 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$870
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 +11.8% +1.1% 69% 58% +9.3%
≤30d 1288 +13.0% +2.2% 66% 56% -6.9%
≤90d 1904 +8.6% -1.8% 61% 53% -13.3%
all 1904 +8.6% -1.8% 61% 53% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.8% 53% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.2% 46% -21.6%
15% -19.7% 35% -29.2%
20% -27.6% 27% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records