Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63d6…8c6e
crypto · 792 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$71 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses394 / 398
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)792 / 792
History coverage5d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day558.6
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 792 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days+$71
14 days+$71
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$12 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$9 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$41 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$8 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$17 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$22 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$39 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$80
sports 2% −$5
other 0% $0
tech 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $0 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 792 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 44% -8.3%
≤30d 792 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 44% -8.3%
≤90d 792 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 44% -8.3%
all 792 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 44% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover558.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 44% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 39% -17.0%
15% -30.1% 33% -25.0%
20% -37.0% 29% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.64 · official $9.64 (match) · 3500 history records