trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 25% | 12% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 25% | 10% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 25% | 10% | -9.4% |
| all | 28 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 36% | 7% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 7% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -20.2% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -27.9% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 24 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $31 | +$4 | +12% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $35 | −$4 | -12% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 19 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $44 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $28 | −$1 | -3% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$1 | +20% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 14 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 09 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 04 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Dec 10 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 19 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Anderlecht vs. Fenerbahce | Mar 04 | $10 | $0 | +5% |