Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:49:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63b0…e892
crypto · 1404 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$230 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$230 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$230
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1238 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1411 / 1404
History coverage19d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day108.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1411 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$164
7 days−$157
14 days−$235
30 days−$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -346%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$232
other 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 418 -3.1% -12.3% 82% 69% -14.2%
≤30d 1411 -0.4% -9.9% 88% 26% -11.9%
≤90d 1411 -0.4% -9.9% 88% 26% -11.9%
all 1411 -0.4% -9.9% 88% 26% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 26% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 9% -20.3%
15% -26.4% 2% -28.0%
20% -33.6% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.26 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records