Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:47:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63a9…45e0
crypto · 432 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$362 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$362 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$362
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses208 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)432 / 432
History coverage54d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day21.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$257
7 days−$223
14 days−$306
30 days−$340
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $162 −$155 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $313 +$86 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $251 +$68 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $367 −$350 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $241 +$173 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $225 +$198 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$67 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $279 −$265 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $209 +$94 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$21 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$100 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$19 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$61 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $68 +$26 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$22 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$58 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$37 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$37 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$12 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $58 −$55 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$38 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$7 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$100 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $149 +$42 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$12 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $30 −$29 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$932
world 17% +$901
other 1% −$323
sports 0% +$3
politics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $210 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $399 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $209 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $222 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $73 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $72 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 +8.8% -1.6% 55% 51% -13.0%
≤30d 160 -2.4% -11.7% 52% 47% -14.5%
≤90d 432 -13.6% -21.9% 48% 43% -10.9%
all 432 -13.6% -21.9% 48% 43% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 43% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 35% -19.5%
15% -36.2% 28% -27.2%
20% -42.4% 21% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1269 history records