Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:15:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x6396…4ded
crypto · 48 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses35 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 49% -20.6%
≤30d 48 -8.7% -17.4% 73% 46% -24.3%
≤90d 48 -8.7% -17.4% 73% 46% -24.3%
all 48 -8.7% -17.4% 73% 46% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 46% -24.3%
10% -25.3% 27% -31.5%
15% -32.5% 15% -38.1%
20% -39.2% 8% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 126 history records