Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x6394…95a3 crypto 1746 markets active 1h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$4,403 (+50%) realized +$4,403 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate87%1512W / 234L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day81.9pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 21d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 76% −$138
other 24% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -68.6% -71.6% 20% 9% -58.9%
≤30d 1746 -6.8% -15.6% 87% 9% -11.7%
≤90d 1746 -6.8% -15.6% 87% 9% -11.7%
all 1746 -6.8% -15.6% 87% 9% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 9% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 4% -20.1%
15% -31.1% 2% -27.8%
20% -37.8% 2% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -15% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,403
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1512 / 234
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1746 / 1746
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day81.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1746 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records