Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:03:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x6392…52dd
sports · 207 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$234 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$229 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$229
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses91 / 113
Est. fees paid−$128
Open positions3
Markets (closed)204 / 207
History coverage28d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day32.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 204 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$18
14 days+$26
30 days−$229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) Team Vitality 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) G2 Esports 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner LYON 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) G2 Esports 24¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 37¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 16¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 23¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) KT Rolster 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs BNK FEARX 10¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 18¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Team Vitality 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$1 -6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$2 -20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$1 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $13 +$7 +55%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $16 −$3 -16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$6 -99%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $7 +$13 +188%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$3 -65%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$8 +134%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $6 $0 +1%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $41 +$19 +46%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $40 −$14 -35%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $50 −$4 -8%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $57 +$15 +27%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $11 +$9 +78%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $9 −$7 -80%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$3 +24%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $9 −$1 -6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $14 −$6 -45%
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) Jun 07 $6 −$5 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $28 +$12 +42%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $17 −$4 -25%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $54 +$6 +12%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $50 −$23 -46%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $4 $0 -6%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $2 $0 -11%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $3 −$1 -22%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $15 −$11 -70%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $7 +$3 +40%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $8 +$2 +26%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 06 $13 +$7 +59%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $8 +$1 +8%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$3 +43%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$8 -74%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $2 $0 -16%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $2 −$1 -29%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $7 −$1 -12%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $5 −$1 -14%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) Jun 03 $12 +$8 +70%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $8 +$2 +19%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $2 $0 -10%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $3 $0 -9%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) Jun 01 $17 +$33 +192%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$229
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $10 10m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 21¢ $2 11m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $6 12m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 31¢ $5 19m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $3 34m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $3 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $7 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $5 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 72¢ $7 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $8 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 22¢ $4 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $7 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $4 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ $9 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 45¢ $13 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $7 24h
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) BUY T1 14¢ $3 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $16 40h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 41h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 41h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 1¢ $1 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Anyones Legend 12¢ $2 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 34¢ $2 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 32¢ $3 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 96¢ $14 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 35¢ $2 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 43¢ $4 4d
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 34¢ $7 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 19¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -13.8% -22.0% 39% 36% -8.9%
≤30d 204 +12.0% +1.4% 45% 42% -11.5%
≤90d 204 +12.0% +1.4% 45% 42% -11.5%
all 204 +12.0% +1.4% 45% 42% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.4% 42% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -8.3% 39% -20.0%
15% -17.2% 31% -27.7%
20% -25.3% 21% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.21 · official $15.21 (match) · 944 history records