Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:10:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x6385…7ccc crypto 631 markets active 1h ago coverage 63d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 62d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$4,127 (-30%) realized −$4,127 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%615W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day10.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 63d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% +$135
other 10% −$81
finance 7% −$16
tech 0% $0
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 316 -1.4% -10.8% 97% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 631 -0.5% -9.9% 97% 0% -9.3%
all 631 -0.5% -9.9% 97% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.6% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.4% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$15 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses615 / 16
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 631
History coverage63d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 631 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 15? Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 15? Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 16? BUY No 98¢ $29 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? BUY No 98¢ $29 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 19h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 22h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 23h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 24h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records