Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x6373…a0b7
sports · 228 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,746 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,751 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,045
Realized−$11,751
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses89 / 137
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$5,305
Open positions2
Markets (closed)226 / 228
History coverage75d
Avg bet$1,564
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19,898
7 days−$15,949
14 days−$20,865
30 days−$11,333
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 100¢ 100¢ $7,900 $7,904 +$4 (+0%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Karmine Corp Blue 99¢ 100¢ $140 $141 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 9¢ 0¢ $1,218 $0 −$1,218 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 29¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 14¢ 0¢ $664 $0 −$664 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 3¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOUD 3¢ 0¢ $383 $0 −$383 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 7¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 32¢ 0¢ $7,734 $0 −$7,734 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs AM Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 12¢ 0¢ $944 $0 −$944 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 54¢ 0¢ $6,159 $0 −$6,159 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 8¢ 0¢ $1,671 $0 −$1,671 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 20¢ 0¢ $2,893 $0 −$2,893 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 45¢ 0¢ $2,856 $0 −$2,856 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage OG 31¢ 0¢ $1,733 $0 −$1,733 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 5¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 38¢ 0¢ $650 $0 −$650 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 0¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristian Jaqueline Cristian 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BIG 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 19¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Fluxo W7M 27¢ 0¢ $2,946 $0 −$2,946 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $19,006 +$166 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9,686 +$17,570 +181%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,493 −$1,469 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,012 +$6,179 +123%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $200 +$7 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1,484 −$1,445 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2,904 −$2,856 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,131 +$4,273 +83%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2,380 −$2,314 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $14,437 −$213 -2%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $1 $0 +37%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2,497 −$2,450 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $7,875 −$7,734 -98%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,487 +$2,546 +171%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $4,580 −$4,493 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3,109 −$3,033 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $4,110 +$9,133 +222%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $7,116 −$6,980 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5,001 +$44 +1%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $465 +$2,072 +445%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $3,970 −$3,176 -80%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2,867 +$3,005 +105%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,036 −$2,000 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $969 −$944 -97%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,962 −$2,893 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3,041 +$2,415 +79%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $626 −$616 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $75 −$73 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $8,858 −$2,281 -26%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $8,054 −$7,965 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $10,598 +$7,228 +68%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1,878 −$1,671 -89%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,850 −$1,819 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $615 −$599 -97%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $502 −$490 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $42 −$41 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $12,240 −$12,051 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $681 −$664 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $312 −$305 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $2,049 +$9,330 +455%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $3,002 +$31 +1%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,607 −$1,563 -97%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $2,033 +$2,408 +118%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $208 −$202 -97%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $116 −$114 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $3,338 −$3,172 -95%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $1,017 −$1,000 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$12,611
crypto 1% +$869
other 0% −$4
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp Blue 99¢ $140 22m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 100¢ $19,172 56m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 99¢ $19,006 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 100¢ $7,900 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $27,256 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $2,547 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $7,138 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $186 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $1,307 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $11,192 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 44¢ $5,012 6h
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) BUY Maria 97¢ $200 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 8¢ $457 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 11¢ $1,027 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $2,033 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $871 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $9,404 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 93¢ $3,167 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $1,964 10h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2¢ $686 22h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 8¢ $1,694 22h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $7,419 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $7,403 23h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 82¢ $6,805 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $7,034 24h
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler SELL Karolina Pliskova 99¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY M80 26¢ $9 4d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY BIG 9¢ $1 4d
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler BUY Karolina Pliskova 71¢ $1 4d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 35¢ $458 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -30.5% -37.1% 31% 24% -19.1%
≤30d 201 -11.6% -20.1% 43% 29% -11.8%
≤90d 226 -16.8% -24.8% 39% 27% -12.0%
all 226 -16.8% -24.8% 39% 27% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.8% 27% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -32.0% 26% -20.4%
15% -38.5% 24% -28.1%
20% -44.6% 21% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,045.08 · official $8,045.08 (match) · 657 history records