trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +4.6% | -5.3% | 50% | 0% | -5.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 83% | 0% | -7.6% |
| all | 22 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 95% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) | Argentina | 100¢ | 99¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | Jun 01 | $37 | +$3 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 10 | May 10 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 2 | May 09 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 28? | May 09 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 20? | Apr 27 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 5°C or below on March 11? | Mar 19 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on March 6? | Mar 10 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | Mar 05 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 2-8? | Feb 25 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Pistons | Feb 07 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | Feb 07 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on January 25 | Jan 30 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 12-18? | Jan 25 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 1 | Jan 14 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11? | Jan 12 | $1,302 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11? | Jan 11 | $1,300 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 11? | Jan 10 | $1,298 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 5-11? | Jan 10 | $1,297 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 9? | Jan 10 | $1,294 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 9? | Jan 09 | $1,292 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 December 29-January 4? | Jan 07 | $32 | $0 | +1% |