Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x6351…a086
crypto · 1497 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$146 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$146 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$146
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1409 / 131
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1540 / 1497
History coverage86d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 1540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$25
14 days−$70
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will White House post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will White House post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -248%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will White House post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$44
other 1% −$69
sports 0% −$10
finance 0% −$2
world 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 421 -11.2% -19.6% 85% 5% -13.6%
≤30d 1526 -3.0% -12.2% 92% 9% -10.0%
≤90d 1540 -3.6% -12.8% 91% 9% -10.8%
all 1540 -3.6% -12.8% 91% 9% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 9% -10.8%
10% -21.1% 2% -19.4%
15% -28.7% 1% -27.1%
20% -35.7% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.52 · official $1.52 (match) · 3070 history records