trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 33% | 33% | -93.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -38.2% | -44.1% | 24% | 12% | -90.8% |
| all | 17 | -38.2% | -44.1% | 24% | 12% | -90.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.1% | 12% | -90.8% |
| 10% | -49.4% | 12% | -91.7% |
| 15% | -54.3% | 12% | -92.5% |
| 20% | -58.8% | 12% | -93.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $4,094 | $1,112 | −$2,981 (-73%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 10 | $5,196 | −$5,196 | -100% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $155 | +$89 | +58% |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 | Jun 03 | $204 | −$16 | -8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | May 11 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | May 11 | $21 | +$23 | +111% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | May 11 | $239 | −$230 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Apr 20 | $10 | −$1 | -5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Apr 20 | $65 | −$44 | -68% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 19 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | Apr 19 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 19 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Apr 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Apr 19 | $6 | −$1 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Apr 19 | $4 | −$1 | -29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Apr 16 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 15 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Seahawks vs. Packers | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |