Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:47:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x6348…6871 crypto 358 markets active 0h ago coverage 33d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$300 (-3%) realized −$300 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate47%167W / 191L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day13.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$425
14 days−$450
30 days−$470
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$464
other 0% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 -4.0% -13.1% 49% 49% -13.8%
≤30d 356 -2.0% -11.4% 47% 47% -13.9%
≤90d 358 -2.6% -11.9% 47% 46% -14.1%
all 358 -2.6% -11.9% 47% 46% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 46% -14.1%
10% -20.3% 46% -22.3%
15% -28.0% 42% -29.8%
20% -35.0% 36% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$26 · ×1.03 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$300
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses167 / 191
Open positions0
Markets (closed)358 / 358
History coverage33d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 358 Trades
no open positions (79 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $41 +$35 +84%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$12 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$52 +262%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$27 +105%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$15 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $36 +$25 +70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$18 +91%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$20 +69%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$16 +153%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$33 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$25 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$24 +95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$21 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $41 +$22 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$26 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $28 +$17 +60%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$27 +124%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$34 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $24 −$9 -37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$24 +81%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$20 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$39 +119%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$12 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $27 +$28 +106%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$27 +56%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$28 +99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$18 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$40 -79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$20 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$7 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$7 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $41 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $45 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $33 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $20 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $46 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $31 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $12 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $36 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $38 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $29 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $36 57m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $49 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $29 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $49 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $34 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $54 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $29 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $24 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $29 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $41 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $27 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $23 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $30 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $28 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $22 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 746 history records