Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:31:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x6347…4390 crypto 244 markets active 1h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (565 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$6,817 (+13%) realized +$6,817 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -45% what you keep after slip
Net edge-45%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate28%104W / 261L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$209per market
Trades / day564.8pace
Fees−$22est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% +$2,581
other 7% −$383
world 2% −$855
sports 1% +$272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (565 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-35.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 365 -28.5% -35.3% 28% 27% -15.2%
≤30d 365 -28.5% -35.3% 28% 27% -15.2%
≤90d 365 -28.5% -35.3% 28% 27% -15.2%
all 365 -28.5% -35.3% 28% 27% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover564.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.3% 27% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -41.5% 24% -23.3%
15% -47.1% 19% -30.7%
20% -52.3% 16% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -28% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +32% → late -89% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
13.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$174 vs −$83 · ×2.1 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,817
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses104 / 261
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)365 / 244
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$209
Trades / day564.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 365 Trades
no open positions (198 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 19 $54 −$54 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $50 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $14 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $29 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $19 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $19 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $41 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $24 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $58 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $27 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records