trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +243.5% | +210.8% | 100% | 100% | +210.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +365.9% | +321.5% | 100% | 100% | +242.4% |
| ≤90d | 56 | -33.4% | -39.8% | 11% | 11% | -33.4% |
| all | 56 | -33.4% | -39.8% | 11% | 11% | -33.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.8% | 11% | -33.4% |
| 10% | -45.5% | 11% | -39.7% |
| 15% | -50.8% | 11% | -45.6% |
| 20% | -55.6% | 11% | -50.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-14%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $8 | $7 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 23¢ | 10¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$50 | +244% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 28 | $3 | +$17 | +488% |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | Apr 09 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Apr 09 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Apr 09 | $40 | −$39 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Apr 09 | $11 | −$10 | -97% |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Apr 08 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Apr 08 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Apr 08 | $13 | −$12 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | Apr 06 | $40 | −$39 | -97% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 05 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pelicans | Apr 05 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Apr 05 | $20 | −$20 | -97% |
| Wizards vs. Heat | Apr 05 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Bucks | Apr 04 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Apr 04 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Apr 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Grizzlies | Apr 04 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Apr 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Apr 04 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Kings | Apr 04 | $36 | +$159 | +442% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 04 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Apr 04 | $13 | −$1 | -8% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Apr 04 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Hornets vs. Nets | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Rockets | Apr 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Apr 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 03 | $3 | −$2 | -71% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Apr 02 | $2 | +$18 | +1150% |
| Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Tianjin Pioneers | Apr 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Apr 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Apr 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Apr 01 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year | Mar 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Hawks | Mar 30 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Mar 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Suns | Mar 30 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | Mar 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Mar 30 | $3 | +$7 | +285% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Warriors | Mar 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Lakers | Mar 28 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Mar 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 4¢ | $8 | 1h |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 10¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | BUY Yes | 12¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 11¢ | $21 | 8h |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 10¢ | $10 | 8h |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 6¢ | $10 | 8h |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY Yes | 28¢ | $20 | 17d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 10¢ | $6 | 66d |
| Heat vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 7¢ | $7 | 66d |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | BUY Mavericks | 10¢ | $20 | 67d |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 2¢ | $5 | 67d |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 2¢ | $5 | 67d |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | BUY Mavericks | 10¢ | $20 | 67d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 17¢ | $0 | 68d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 17¢ | $2 | 68d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 17¢ | $2 | 68d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 17¢ | $2 | 68d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 17¢ | $0 | 68d |
| Heat vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 10¢ | $8 | 68d |
| Heat vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 10¢ | $0 | 68d |
| Heat vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 10¢ | $1 | 68d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 17¢ | $0 | 68d |
| Heat vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 10¢ | $0 | 68d |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 17¢ | $3 | 68d |
| Heat vs. Wizards | BUY Wizards | 10¢ | $1 | 68d |
| Kings vs. Warriors | BUY Kings | 11¢ | $11 | 68d |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | BUY Mavericks | 16¢ | $13 | 68d |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 6¢ | $12 | 68d |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | BUY Grizzlies | 10¢ | $20 | 70d |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | BUY Grizzlies | 10¢ | $20 | 70d |