Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x6304…e570
sports · 101 markets active 20h ago
0.0score
+$21,953 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,305 · open +$8,649
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$24,686
Realized+$13,305
Unrealized+$8,649
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses48 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$9,375
Open positions1
Markets (closed)100 / 101
Avg bet$6,482
Trades / day43.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16,800
7 days+$63,773
14 days+$91,099
30 days+$47,387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 22¢ 34¢ $16,038 $24,686 +$8,649 (+54%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 38¢ 0¢ $7,365 $0 −$7,365 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $8,925 $0 −$8,925 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $1,734 $0 −$1,734 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 51¢ 0¢ $2,026 $0 −$2,026 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $3,978 $0 −$3,978 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs FUT Esports 40¢ 0¢ $4,914 $0 −$4,914 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega KRÜ Esports 65¢ 0¢ $1,388 $0 −$1,388 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs MIBR 57¢ 0¢ $11,472 $0 −$11,472 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 24¢ 0¢ $3,600 $0 −$3,600 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 45¢ 0¢ $6,884 $0 −$6,884 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 49¢ 0¢ $7,923 $0 −$7,923 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs MIBR 51¢ 0¢ $5,900 $0 −$5,900 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 45¢ 0¢ $7,875 $0 −$7,875 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Aurora 44¢ 0¢ $5,521 $0 −$5,521 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs FaZe 33¢ 0¢ $979 $0 −$979 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Aurora 53¢ 0¢ $1,772 $0 −$1,772 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs FURIA 45¢ 0¢ $3,942 $0 −$3,942 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 55¢ 0¢ $4,577 $0 −$4,577 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs 9z 65¢ 0¢ $5,870 $0 −$5,870 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Aurora Gaming 46¢ 0¢ $2,878 $0 −$2,878 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 37¢ 0¢ $1,505 $0 −$1,505 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage FUT Esports 44¢ 0¢ $4,400 $0 −$4,400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $8,005 −$7,875 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $9,056 −$8,925 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $10,849 +$9,074 +84%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $11,191 +$8,728 +78%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5,674 +$4,326 +76%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $4,428 −$4,400 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,682 −$3,600 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $8,287 +$8,713 +105%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $13,538 +$14,833 +110%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $14,124 +$14,976 +106%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $19,801 +$6,940 +35%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $12,976 +$11,823 +91%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $12,620 +$9,159 +73%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $9,951 +$5,330 +54%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $10,072 +$6,792 +67%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $15,302 +$14,124 +92%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $13,971 +$11,362 +81%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $7,923 −$7,923 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $4,300 +$3,692 +86%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $3,978 −$3,978 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $5,851 +$2,505 +43%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $4,606 −$4,577 -99%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $3,507 +$1,827 +52%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $2,053 −$2,026 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1,165 +$877 +75%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $6,892 −$6,884 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 24 $7,502 −$7,365 -98%
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs May 17 $11,589 −$11,472 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs May 16 $5,002 −$4,914 -98%
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playof May 15 $5,986 −$5,900 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 15 $17 +$18 +109%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $5,931 −$5,870 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $3,987 +$1,936 +49%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 14 $4,007 −$3,942 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 13 $1,772 −$1,772 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 13 $1,759 −$1,734 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St May 12 $1,505 −$1,505 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $2,879 −$2,878 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 12 $789 +$460 +58%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 12 $495 +$302 +61%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou May 02 $1,402 −$1,388 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs May 02 $992 −$979 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 26 $5,521 −$5,521 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 26 $2,673 +$2,775 +104%
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega Apr 26 $3,227 −$3,227 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 26 $10,111 −$10,111 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 26 $10,985 −$10,985 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 25 $10,709 +$11,161 +104%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 G Apr 25 $3,201 −$3,201 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 25 $9,134 −$9,134 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$13,346
other 2% +$8,608
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $4 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $15 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $4 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $20 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 20h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $616 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $484 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $22 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $15 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $12 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $9 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $15 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $9 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $13 21h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $7 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +27.5% +15.3% 69% 69% +33.6%
≤30d 34 -1.0% -10.4% 56% 56% +6.5%
≤90d 100 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 47% -7.6%
all 100 -9.1% -17.7% 48% 47% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 47% -7.6%
10% -25.6% 47% -16.5%
15% ← realistic here -32.8% 45% -24.5%
20% -39.4% 40% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24,686.27 · official $24,686.27 (match) · 3500 history records