Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:54:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62fa…d16c
crypto · 792 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$537 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$608 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$608
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses452 / 333
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions7
Markets (closed)785 / 792
History coverage147d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 7 History 785 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$61
14 days−$61
30 days−$292
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 71¢ 44¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-39%)
Spread: Austria (-1.5) Jordan 51¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: France (-1.5) Senegal 61¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Algeria 79¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) New Zealand 77¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Egypt 69¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Spread: Norway (-2.5) Iraq 65¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +58%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +69%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$182
other 18% −$287
sports 13% −$142
world 1% +$1
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 24m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 193 -15.1% -23.2% 49% 47% -18.5%
≤30d 201 -16.0% -24.0% 48% 46% -37.9%
≤90d 728 -15.4% -23.5% 56% 53% -26.3%
all 785 -10.4% -19.0% 58% 54% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.0% 54% -21.0%
10% -26.7% 45% -28.6%
15% -33.8% 17% -35.5%
20% -40.3% 12% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.79 · official $41.79 (match) · 1798 history records