trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 20% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 17% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 17% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 29 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 34% | 3% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 3% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 21 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $65 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $34 | $0 | -1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 02 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 01 | $34 | −$4 | -12% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on June 6? | Jun 06 | $11 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 05 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 23 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 23 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | Apr 23 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $79000 on Apr 25? | Apr 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Elect | Apr 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy? | Apr 21 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | +0% |