Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62f4…c090
crypto · 929 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,874 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,909 · open +$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$174
Realized−$5,909
Unrealized+$36
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses440 / 549
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)989 / 929
History coverage6d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day484.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 7 History 989 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,744
7 days−$5,909
14 days−$5,909
30 days−$5,909
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 44¢ $22 $49 +$27 (+122%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 52¢ $32 $29 −$4 (-11%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 32¢ $25 $28 +$3 (+12%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $26 $25 −$1 (-2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ 25¢ $14 $25 +$11 (+79%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 9¢ 18¢ $9 $18 +$9 (+100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$13 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $160 −$160 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$48 -554%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$10,200
other 0% +$114
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $41 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 42¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $37 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 989 -12.4% -20.7% 44% 44% -21.7%
≤30d 989 -12.4% -20.7% 44% 44% -21.7%
≤90d 989 -12.4% -20.7% 44% 44% -21.7%
all 989 -12.4% -20.7% 44% 44% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover484.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 44% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 43% -29.2%
15% -35.2% 43% -36.1%
20% -41.6% 41% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $174.23 · official $174.23 (match) · 3500 history records