Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:09:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
62 0x62e5…b7b0 crypto 393 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d only
✗ bot/MM pace (382 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,270 (+22%) realized +$1,270 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate39%155W / 238L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day381.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days−$80
14 days−$262
30 days−$262
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$260
other 1% +$7
world 0% −$16
sports 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (382 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 344 -10.5% -19.0% 41% 38% -11.0%
≤30d 393 -11.3% -19.8% 39% 37% -13.7%
≤90d 393 -11.3% -19.8% 39% 37% -13.7%
all 393 -11.3% -19.8% 39% 37% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover381.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 37% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 34% -21.9%
15% -34.5% 29% -29.5%
20% -40.9% 24% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$10 · ×1.37 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,270
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses155 / 238
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)393 / 393
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day381.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 393 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$18 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$7 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$15 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $24 +$15 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $59 +$24 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $43 +$42 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
IR Iran leading at halftime? Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $33 +$57 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$16 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Jun 15 $8 +$7 +83%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $8 −$6 -68%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$5 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $34 +$26 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $6 +$2 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records