trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -43.5% | -48.9% | 0% | 0% | -23.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -39.2% | -45.0% | 29% | 14% | -12.1% |
| all | 7 | -39.2% | -45.0% | 29% | 14% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -45.0% | 14% | -12.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -50.3% | 14% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -55.1% | 14% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -59.5% | 0% | -35.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1,545 | −$1,486 | -96% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $7,763 | −$675 | -9% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $7,999 | −$1,754 | -22% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | Apr 15 | $5,550 | +$385 | +7% |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue? | Apr 13 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Apr 13 | $499 | −$472 | -95% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 13 | $5,122 | +$2,239 | +44% |