Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:02:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
62 0x62d4…4e1a crypto 1371 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$232 (-4%) realized −$232 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate52%743W / 686L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day70.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$568
14 days−$907
30 days−$406
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$173
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 410 -57.4% -61.4% 23% 16% -25.9%
≤30d 1304 -9.7% -18.3% 50% 47% -16.3%
≤90d 1429 -5.1% -14.1% 52% 50% -14.2%
all 1429 -5.1% -14.1% 52% 50% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 50% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 49% -22.4%
15% -29.9% 44% -29.9%
20% -36.7% 40% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +35% → late -46% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$232
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses743 / 686
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1429 / 1371
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day70.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1429 Trades
no open positions (217 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records