trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -44.0% | -49.3% | 15% | 15% | -53.2% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -50.6% | -55.3% | 13% | 13% | -54.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -50.6% | -55.3% | 13% | 13% | -54.1% |
| all | 29 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 31% | 28% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.6% | 28% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -35.4% | 21% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -41.7% | 21% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -47.4% | 17% | -41.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 75¢ | 74¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $141 | +$71 | +50% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $102 | −$76 | -74% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $51 | −$24 | -47% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $51 | −$46 | -89% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $41 | +$159 | +388% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 21 | $32 | −$31 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$9 | -87% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | Jan 29 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 26 | $50 | −$32 | -64% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 24 | $100 | +$59 | +59% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 24 | $50 | +$95 | +190% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21? | Nov 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Nov 20 | $20 | +$22 | +112% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14? | Nov 14 | $30 | −$5 | -17% |
| Will the government shutdown end November 13? | Nov 13 | $140 | +$108 | +77% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Nov 12 | $100 | −$19 | -19% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Nov 12 | $100 | −$17 | -17% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $403 | +$55 | +14% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | Mar 01 | $11 | +$2 | +14% |
| Solana above $190 on February 14? | Feb 15 | $11 | $0 | +0% |