Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:47:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
62 0x62c3…bfc9 sports 702 markets active 8h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (137 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$7,869 (+1%) realized +$7,869 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%701W / 1L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,194per market
Trades / day136.6pace
Fees−$108est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$1,540
14 days+$2,535
30 days+$5,576
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$5,576
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (137 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 1% -9.1%
≤30d 702 +3.5% -6.4% 100% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 702 +3.5% -6.4% 100% 1% -9.1%
all 702 +3.5% -6.4% 100% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover136.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.4% 1% -9.1%
10% -15.3% 0% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -23.5% 0% -25.7%
20% -31.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 31% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$928) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +7% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$0 · ×96.54 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×67673.85 per $1 lost it wins $67673.85
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,869
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses701 / 1
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)702 / 702
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$1,194
Trades / day136.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 702 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) Jun 16 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 16 $2,460 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $41 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 16 $6,183 +$6 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $8,031 +$8 +0%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $3,992 +$4 +0%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playof Jun 16 $2,512 +$25 +1%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5) Jun 16 $43 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group B Jun 16 $46 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $293 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $3,800 +$38 +1%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Jun 16 $75 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5) Jun 16 $75 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5) Jun 16 $10,131 +$10 +0%
Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5) Jun 16 $76 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 15 $9,145 +$13 +0%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 15 $2,653 +$3 +0%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $77 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group A Jun 15 $79 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs eSuba - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $79 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $10,107 +$10 +0%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $80 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 15 $9,684 +$11 +0%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5) Jun 15 $42 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN C Jun 15 $71 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $71 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $1,154 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 15 $2,393 +$2 +0%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Jun 14 $1,024 +$1 +0%
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Jun 14 $452 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5) Jun 14 $54 +$1 +1%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) Jun 14 $21 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 14 $9,099 +$9 +0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $23 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Jun 14 $695 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $6,198 +$63 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $223 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $399 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5) Jun 14 $523 +$1 +0%
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5) Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $3,378 +$3 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S BUY GenOne 100¢ $2,024 7h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S BUY GenOne 100¢ $437 7h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 100¢ $41 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $639 11h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 100¢ $15 11h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 100¢ $5 11h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 100¢ $20 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $14 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $302 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $42 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $113 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $2 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $940 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $32 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $5 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $48 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $114 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $201 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $7 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $616 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $50 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $8 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $45 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $999 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $104 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $4,995 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $27 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $2,997 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $274 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 100¢ $17 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records