Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:06:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62b8…cedb
crypto · 1308 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1025 / 283
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1308 / 1308
History coverage184d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $11 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $14 −$12 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 20 $44 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 19 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 19 $16 +$4 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET May 14 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 10 $43 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 10 $32 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET May 10 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 10 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 10 $58 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Apr 28 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Apr 28 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 28 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Apr 27 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Apr 27 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Apr 27 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Apr 27 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Apr 27 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 27 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Apr 27 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Apr 27 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Apr 27 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Apr 27 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Apr 27 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Apr 27 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Apr 26 $10 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $17 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $20 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $29 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +5.0% -5.0% 83% 57% -6.9%
≤30d 29 -3.0% -12.2% 72% 52% -17.1%
≤90d 168 +1.5% -8.1% 75% 32% -10.3%
all 1308 +0.2% -9.3% 78% 29% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 29% -9.5%
10% -18.0% 2% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records