Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62b5…c37f
crypto · 1427 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$9 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1088 / 339
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1427 / 1427
Avg bet$12
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1427 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$39
14 days+$39
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $26 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $26 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $26 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +3.0% -6.8% 94% 29% -7.2%
≤30d 79 +3.0% -6.8% 94% 29% -7.2%
≤90d 1427 +1.1% -8.5% 76% 60% -9.5%
all 1427 +1.1% -8.5% 76% 60% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 60% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 38% -18.1%
15% -25.3% 24% -26.0%
20% -32.6% 16% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2676 history records