trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -47.4% | -52.4% | 0% | 0% | -52.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -49.9% | -54.7% | 20% | 20% | -68.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -49.9% | -54.7% | 20% | 20% | -68.6% |
| all | 5 | -49.9% | -54.7% | 20% | 20% | -68.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.7% | 20% | -68.6% |
| 10% | -59.0% | 20% | -71.6% |
| 15% | -63.0% | 20% | -74.4% |
| 20% | -66.6% | 0% | -76.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 87¢ | $100 | $104 | +$4 (+4%) |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 86¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 58¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 19¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $3 | +$2 (+234%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 17¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-44%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $26 | −$24 | -94% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $25 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 | Jun 03 | $274 | −$269 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 03 | $100 | +$45 | +45% |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 02 | $76 | −$75 | -99% |