Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:33:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62af…daee
crypto · 623 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$7,484 +65%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,537 · open −$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$905
Realized+$7,537
Unrealized−$57
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses563 / 55
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)618 / 623
History coverage12d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day66.9
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 5 History 618 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$127
14 days+$7,537
30 days+$7,537
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $330 $346 +$15 (+5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $400 $334 −$66 (-16%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $75 $84 +$9 (+12%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $92 $77 −$15 (-16%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $63 $63 −$0 (-1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will USD/KRW hit 1550 (High) in 2026? No 0¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$203
politics 29% +$7,844
other 19% −$142
tech 0% $0
world 0% −$19
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 604 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 1% -11.3%
≤30d 618 +0.9% -8.7% 91% 2% +57.0%
≤90d 618 +0.9% -8.7% 91% 2% +57.0%
all 618 +0.9% -8.7% 91% 2% +57.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 2% +57.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 1% +42.0%
15% -25.4% 1% +28.3%
20% -32.8% 1% +15.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $904.52 · official $904.52 (match) · 1353 history records