Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:21:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62ac…b8cb
crypto · 1474 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,040 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,021 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$165
Realized+$1,021
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1079 / 469
Open positions29
Markets (closed)1548 / 1474
History coverage14d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day167.6
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 29 History 1548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,123
7 days−$1,474
14 days+$764
30 days+$1,021
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? No 17¢ 100¢ $17 $100 +$83 (+488%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 9¢ 10¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? No 8¢ 6¢ $12 $9 −$3 (-26%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 10¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-15%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 14? Yes 3¢ 6¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+103%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+46%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? No 1¢ 3¢ $1 $4 +$2 (+167%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+85%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? No 4¢ 3¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-49%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? No 2¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-36%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-36%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Ethereum above 1,560 on June 6, 7AM ET? No 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin above 59,600 on June 5, 3PM ET? No 57¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+75%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum above 2,130 on May 19, 8AM ET? No 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 19, 8AM ET? No 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 5, 12AM ET? No 15¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+567%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Ethereum above 2,030 on May 30, 3PM ET? No 84¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum above 2,130 on May 19, 8AM ET? Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 19, 8AM ET? Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19? Jun 13 $0 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -99%
XRP Up or Down on May 25? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 22? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 22? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 6PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 22? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 20? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$5,066
other 6% +$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 19m
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 4¢ $0 25m
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 4¢ $1 25m
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 4¢ $1 26m
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 4¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $88 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $4 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $44 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $33 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $56 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $72 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $50 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $19 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $36 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $30 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 1¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $78 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $94 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 883 -20.4% -28.0% 60% 15% -12.6%
≤30d 1548 +3.0% -6.8% 70% 19% -8.8%
≤90d 1548 +3.0% -6.8% 70% 19% -8.8%
all 1548 +3.0% -6.8% 70% 19% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 19% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 10% -17.5%
15% -23.8% 7% -25.5%
20% -31.3% 5% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $164.65 · official $153.74 · 3500 history records