Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T02:07:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
62 0x62aa…a492 crypto 289 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$345 (-7%) realized −$345 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate39%113W / 176L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day25.9pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$245
7 days+$58
14 days−$377
30 days−$403
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% −$229
politics 23% −$164
sports 2% −$4
other 1% −$6
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -5.4% -14.4% 41% 38% -6.3%
≤30d 289 -0.3% -9.8% 39% 37% -18.2%
≤90d 289 -0.3% -9.8% 39% 37% -18.2%
all 289 -0.3% -9.8% 39% 37% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 37% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 33% -26.0%
15% -26.3% 27% -33.2%
20% -33.5% 21% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$10 · ×1.19 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$345
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses113 / 176
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)289 / 289
History coverage25d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 289 Trades
no open positions (120 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $94 +$150 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $128 +$50 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $108 +$20 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $21 +$18 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $36 +$33 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 20 $20 +$13 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$12 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$56 +590%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$6 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $20 +$18 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $20 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $14 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 19 $7 +$9 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 19 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$16 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$11 +254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $9 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $32 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$29 -95%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 $0 -15%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $139 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $123 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $128 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $36 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 680 history records