Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x62a8…2793
other · 1747 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$727
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1694 / 43
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1737 / 1747
History coverage29d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day60.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 10 History 1737 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$4
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner WRAITH PCIFIC 100¢ 100¢ $200 $200 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Minkens finest (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Gatorian 100¢ 100¢ $200 $200 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Grillmix vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Saab 100¢ 100¢ $111 $111 +$0 (+0%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage Help Us LFO 100¢ 97¢ $83 $81 −$2 (-3%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Clutchain (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5) Clutchain 100¢ 99¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-0%)
Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Clutchain (+1.5) Clutchain 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Map Handicap: Invicta (-1.5) vs Sashi Academy (+1.5) Sashi Academy 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Ilkley: Completed Match: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger No 100¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) Jun 12 $89 $0 -0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $200 $0 -0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $200 $0 -0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Map Handicap: CC (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: SCARZ vs KINOTROPE gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific Leag Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $230 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $459 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: against All authority (-3.5) vs Young Ninjas (+ Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Young Ninjas (-3.5) vs against All authority (+ Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Young Ninjas (-6.5) vs against All authority (+ Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-6.5) vs ex-RUBY (+6.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$17
crypto 31% $0
sports 22% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: Invicta (-1.5) vs Sashi Academy (+1.5) BUY Sashi Academy 100¢ $20 9m
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner BUY WRAITH PCIFIC 100¢ $200 11m
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 100¢ $40 15m
Counter-Strike: Grillmix vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Saab 100¢ $111 45m
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Over 100¢ $30 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) SELL Legacy 100¢ $40 1h
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $89 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $15 1h
Ilkley: Completed Match: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $20 1h
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) BUY Team Vitality 100¢ $89 1h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Minkens finest (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 100¢ $200 1h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Over 100¢ $200 2h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $80 2h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 100¢ $30 2h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5) BUY BetBoom Team 100¢ $15 2h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $120 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5) BUY SPARTA 100¢ $30 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5) BUY SPARTA 100¢ $30 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5) BUY SPARTA 100¢ $30 2h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5) BUY GenOne 100¢ $30 2h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5) BUY SPARTA 100¢ $30 2h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $200 2h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $200 2h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5) BUY SPARTA 100¢ $30 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Legacy 99¢ $10 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Legacy 99¢ $10 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Legacy 100¢ $10 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Legacy 100¢ $5 2h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Legacy 100¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 600 -0.7% -10.2% 96% 1% -9.9%
≤30d 1737 -0.1% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 1737 -0.1% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.7%
all 1737 -0.1% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $726.61 · official $726.61 (match) · 3500 history records