Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

62
0x629d…756c
sports · 173 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$54,464 -72%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53,345 · open −$1,023
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,034
Realized−$53,345
Unrealized−$1,023
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses94 / 479
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$954
Open positions30
Markets (closed)573 / 173
History coverage2d
Avg bet$440
Trades / day1878.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 30 History 573 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$53,345
7 days−$53,345
14 days−$53,345
30 days−$53,345
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 60¢ 72¢ $681 $824 +$143 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 69¢ 100¢ $492 $710 +$218 (+44%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 27¢ 30¢ $457 $502 +$45 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 38¢ 30¢ $618 $478 −$139 (-23%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 57¢ 60¢ $374 $399 +$25 (+7%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ 100¢ $324 $374 +$51 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 38¢ 28¢ $441 $319 −$122 (-28%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 91¢ 100¢ $187 $205 +$18 (+10%)
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Brazil 98¢ 100¢ $148 $152 +$4 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 58¢ 40¢ $182 $124 −$58 (-32%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A MARKandLARRY 41¢ 100¢ $49 $120 +$71 (+146%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 86¢ 100¢ $86 $100 +$14 (+16%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 68¢ 81¢ $70 $83 +$13 (+18%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 78¢ $62 $63 +$0 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 62¢ $62 $62 +$0 (+0%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 47¢ 36¢ $69 $53 −$16 (-23%)
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Doosan Bears 63¢ 100¢ $32 $51 +$19 (+58%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 49¢ 100¢ $25 $50 +$25 (+102%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Lotte Giants 54¢ 100¢ $27 $49 +$23 (+84%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 66¢ 68¢ $47 $48 +$1 (+2%)
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 93¢ 92¢ $46 $46 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 50¢ 70¢ $25 $35 +$10 (+40%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 69¢ 68¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ 64¢ $18 $27 +$10 (+55%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 53¢ 52¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 12 $2 +$8 +518%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Se Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 12 $4 −$24 -608%
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $54 −$34 -64%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars Jun 12 $696 −$687 -99%
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Jun 12 $923 −$921 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Jun 12 $117 −$7 -6%
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs Mert Alkaya Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champions Jun 12 $25 +$15 +60%
Will Club Aurora win on 2026-05-15? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Four Angry Men (BO1) - BLAST R Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail Jun 12 $296 −$276 -93%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Galorys (BO3) - CCT South America Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Lina Bezza vs Nina Vargova Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Overwatch: Lazuli vs ENTER FORCE.36 (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 1 Regular Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderp Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $169 −$169 -100%
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 12 $47 +$32 +67%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Saudi Arabia Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage Jun 12 $400 −$410 -102%
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Chloe Noel Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$5,858
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $3 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 27¢ $6 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 28¢ $62 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 29¢ $12 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $28 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 29¢ $9 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 29¢ $88 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 65¢ $33 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 79¢ $40 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 66¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 64¢ $28 3m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 31¢ $7 4m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 71¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 71¢ $1 6m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 23¢ $62 7m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 71¢ $2 8m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $23 8m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 28¢ $13 8m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 76¢ $77 10m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 76¢ $76 10m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 75¢ $14 10m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 71¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 49¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 49¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 26¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 71¢ $3 10m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 28¢ $53 10m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 50¢ $25 10m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $22 11m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $19 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-51.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 573 -46.6% -51.7% 16% 14% -46.1%
≤30d 573 -46.6% -51.7% 16% 14% -46.1%
≤90d 573 -46.6% -51.7% 16% 14% -46.1%
all 573 -46.6% -51.7% 16% 14% -46.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1878.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.7% 14% -46.1%
10% ← realistic here -56.3% 12% -51.2%
15% -60.6% 10% -55.9%
20% -64.4% 8% -60.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,034.28 · official $5,102.60 · 3500 history records