trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 2 Switzerland? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-38%) |
| Qatar to win the second half? | Yes | 11¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-41%) |
| Silvan Widmer: 1+ assists | Yes | 17¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw? | Apr 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26? | Apr 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | Feb 03 | $2 | −$1 | -30% |
| Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14? | Dec 29 | $2 | $0 | +22% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Oct 26 | $2 | +$2 | +98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 7 | -44.3% | -49.6% | 29% | 29% | -39.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.6% | 29% | -39.3% |
| 10% | -54.5% | 14% | -45.1% |
| 15% | -58.9% | 14% | -50.4% |
| 20% | -62.9% | 14% | -55.3% |